
A Delicate Balancing Act
Le Pen’s political trajectory has been shaped by the need to broaden her appeal beyond the far-right base that has historically supported her party. In past elections, her close ties to Trump and other nationalist leaders, such as Hungary’s Viktor Orbán, were seen as assets among populist voters. However, as she eyes a potential victory in France’s 2027 presidential election, she faces the challenge of winning over moderate and mainstream conservatives who may be wary of an overt alliance with Trump.
Rather than directly disavowing Trump, Le Pen has chosen a more subtle approach. She no longer praises him as frequently or enthusiastically as she once did, and she avoids commenting on his legal troubles or controversial statements. While some of her key policies still align with Trump’s agenda—such as skepticism toward NATO and opposition to mass immigration—she now presents them in a less confrontational manner. This shift is part of her broader strategy to "de-demonize" her party and make herself a more palatable candidate for the French presidency.
Trump’s Toxicity in European Politics
One of the reasons for Le Pen’s cautious distancing from Trump is his declining popularity among European leaders and voters. While Trump retains a loyal base in the U.S., his reputation in Europe is far more negative. His attacks on NATO, trade wars with allies, and isolationist rhetoric have alienated many Europeans, including those who might otherwise be sympathetic to nationalist causes.
In France, Trump is widely unpopular, and any direct association with him could hurt Le Pen’s chances of winning over undecided voters. French elections are often decided in the second round, where candidates need to appeal to a broad coalition to win. A strong link to Trump could reinforce fears that Le Pen represents an extreme, unpredictable force in French politics—something she has spent years trying to dispel.
A Calculated Shift
Le Pen’s approach reflects her broader attempt to rebrand the National Rally as a mainstream party rather than a radical movement. Her rhetoric has softened on issues such as the European Union, where she now advocates reform rather than outright exit. Similarly, while she remains critical of immigration policies, she frames her arguments in terms of security and economic stability rather than inflammatory nationalism.
By timidly distancing herself from Trump, Le Pen is trying to strike a balance: maintaining her populist appeal while shedding the baggage that comes with being too closely associated with a divisive figure. Whether this strategy will help her win the French presidency remains to be seen, but it signals her awareness of the need to evolve in order to be electorally viable.
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